Josh DownsorKendrick Bourne?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Josh Downs
Josh Downs outscores Kendrick Bourne in 57% of simulations.
Kendrick Bourne still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Josh Downs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Downs projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Kendrick Bourne has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (25% more than average to WRs); Josh Downs faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs). Josh Downs still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 12.9
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Josh DownsWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kendrick BourneWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.6 | 6.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR43 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |