Courtland SuttonorMakai Lemon?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Courtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton outscores Makai Lemon in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Makai Lemon comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Courtland Sutton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Makai Lemon projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Makai Lemon has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Courtland Sutton faces the Carolina Panthers (11% fewer than average to WRs). Courtland Sutton still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Courtland Sutton wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Courtland SuttonWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Makai LemonWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.8 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |