Ladd McConkeyorXavier Hutchinson?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey outscores Xavier Hutchinson in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Xavier Hutchinson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Ladd McConkey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ladd McConkey projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Xavier Hutchinson has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Kansas City Chiefs (21% fewer than average to WRs). Ladd McConkey still wins more often despite that. Ladd McConkey is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Ladd McConkey
Floor
0.3
Median
5.4
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
55%
Xavier Hutchinson
Floor
1.5
Median
4.9
Ceiling
11.9
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
60%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatLadd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ETXavier HutchinsonWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.36.0
PPR projection7.77.4
Standard projection5.04.6
Rank this weekWR39WR43
Matchupat KCat JAX
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game7.66.3
Last season per game9.25.0
Snap share, last game34%41%
Trade value——