A.J. BrownorQuentin Johnston?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores A.J. Brown in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: A.J. Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Quentin Johnston, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. A.J. Brown projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (13% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR33 |
| Matchup | at MIA | at LAR |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 82% |
| Trade value | 4 | — |