A.J. BrownorJordan Addison?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison outscores A.J. Brown in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: A.J. Brown comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Addison projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Jordan Addison has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (13% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

A.J. Brown
Floor
0.2
Median
6.5
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
46%
Jordan Addison
Floor
2.3
Median
6.9
Ceiling
15.4
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatA.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETJordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.98.1
PPR projection9.79.7
Standard projection6.16.5
Rank this weekWR30WR27
Matchupat MIAat DET
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game4.96.2
Last season per game12.18.1
Snap share, last game91%83%
Trade value4—