Jordan AddisonorLuther Burden III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores Luther Burden III in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Luther Burden III comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luther Burden III projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs), Luther Burden III faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR40 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |