Jameson WilliamsorLuther Burden III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Luther Burden III
Luther Burden III outscores Jameson Williams in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jameson Williams comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Luther Burden III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luther Burden III projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Luther Burden III has the better matchup against the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs); Jameson Williams faces the Carolina Panthers (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jameson WilliamsWR, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR41 | WR38 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 61% |
| Trade value | — | — |