DJ MooreorQuentin Johnston?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Quentin Johnston
Quentin Johnston outscores DJ Moore in 57% of simulations.
DJ Moore still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Quentin Johnston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quentin Johnston projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Quentin Johnston has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (12% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the New York Jets (6% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR34 | WR30 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 5.6 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |