Devaughn VeleorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Devaughn Vele in 59% of simulations.
Devaughn Vele still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Michael Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Michael Wilson projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Devaughn Vele has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (21% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devaughn VeleWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR19 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 6.0 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 17 |