Jaylen WaddleorLadd McConkey?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle outscores Ladd McConkey in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ladd McConkey comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.4 half-PPR points in Week 9. Ladd McConkey has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Carolina Panthers (11% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jaylen Waddle
Floor
2.7
Median
7.4
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
38%
Ladd McConkey
Floor
2.5
Median
7.1
Ceiling
15.7
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETLadd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.48.4
PPR projection10.210.2
Standard projection6.76.7
Rank this weekWR24WR25
Matchupat CARvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.07.2
Last season per game10.19.2
Snap share, last game45%90%
Trade value1—