DeMario DouglasorLuther Burden III?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Luther Burden III
Luther Burden III outscores DeMario Douglas in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeMario Douglas comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Luther Burden III, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Luther Burden III projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeMario Douglas has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs); Luther Burden III faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs). Luther Burden III still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeMario DouglasWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Luther Burden IIIWR, CHI, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR34 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 9.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.0 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |