Jordan WatkinsorQuentin Johnston?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores Quentin Johnston in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Quentin Johnston comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Jordan Watkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Watkins projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Quentin Johnston faces the Kansas City Chiefs (22% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Quentin JohnstonWR, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 8.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR42 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 3.6 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 28% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |