Chris Godwin Jr.orDJ Moore?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Godwin Jr.
Chris Godwin Jr. outscores DJ Moore in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Godwin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (26% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR36 | WR35 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |