Chris Godwin Jr.orMichael Pittman?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Pittman
Michael Pittman outscores Chris Godwin Jr. in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chris Godwin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Michael Pittman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Pittman projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Chris Godwin Jr. has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (26% more than average to WRs); Michael Pittman faces the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs). Michael Pittman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael PittmanWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | WR36 | WR32 |
| Matchup | at DAL | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 4.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | — |