DJ MooreorMatthew Golden?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores DJ Moore in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Matthew Golden, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Matthew Golden faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs), DJ Moore faces the New England Patriots (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 7.0 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | WR32 | WR35 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 12.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 82% |
| Trade value | 1 | — |