DJ MooreorTory Horton?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DJ Moore
DJ Moore outscores Tory Horton in 62% of simulations.
Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so DJ Moore is the better bet, not a sure thing. DJ Moore projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Tory Horton has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (4% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). DJ Moore still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 4.5
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 63%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 6.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR48 |
| Matchup | at MIN | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.0 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 68% |
| Trade value | — | — |