DJ MooreorJosh Downs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DJ Moore
DJ Moore outscores Josh Downs in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Josh Downs comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean DJ Moore, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Josh Downs has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (8% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the New York Jets (6% fewer than average to WRs). DJ Moore still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh DownsWR, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 4.9 |
| Rank this week | WR39 | WR49 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |