Jordan WatkinsorTory Horton?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jordan Watkins
Jordan Watkins outscores Tory Horton in 60% of simulations.
Tory Horton still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jordan Watkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Watkins projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Tory Horton faces the Denver Broncos (19% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 58%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tory HortonWR, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 6.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 7.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | WR33 | WR37 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 6.7 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | 7.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 28% | 17% |
| Trade value | — | — |