DJ MooreorJordan Addison?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores DJ Moore in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DJ Moore projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. DJ Moore has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the New Orleans Saints (10% fewer than average to WRs). Jordan Addison still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.4 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | WR35 | WR37 |
| Matchup | at LAR | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 96% |
| Trade value | — | — |