Chris Godwin Jr.orRyan Flournoy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Chris Godwin Jr.
Chris Godwin Jr. outscores Ryan Flournoy in 56% of simulations.
Ryan Flournoy still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Chris Godwin Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Godwin Jr. faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs), Ryan Flournoy faces the Green Bay Packers (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 12.4
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Godwin Jr.WR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 7.5 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR38 | WR42 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 68% |
| Trade value | — | — |