Jordan WatkinsorXavier Worthy?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Worthy
Xavier Worthy outscores Jordan Watkins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Watkins projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (10% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Xavier Worthy still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Xavier Worthy wins 56%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Watkins is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Xavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 5.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 7.6 |
| Standard projection | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | WR45 | WR47 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.6 | 6.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | 6.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 94% |
| Trade value | — | — |