Jordan WatkinsorKeon Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keon Coleman
Keon Coleman outscores Jordan Watkins in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Keon Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keon Coleman projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (10% more than average to WRs); Keon Coleman faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Keon Coleman still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 10.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Keon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 6.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR48 | WR44 |
| Matchup | vs LV | at MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.6 | 8.1 |
| Last season per game | 1.8 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 77% |
| Trade value | — | — |