Antonio WilliamsorXavier Worthy?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy outscores Antonio Williams in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Antonio Williams comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Xavier Worthy, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Antonio Williams projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Xavier Worthy faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs), Antonio Williams faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Antonio Williams
Floor
1.7
Median
5.0
Ceiling
10.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Xavier Worthy
Floor
1.9
Median
5.1
Ceiling
10.5
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
60%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatAntonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETXavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.95.8
PPR projection7.57.6
Standard projection4.24.1
Rank this weekWR46WR47
Matchupvs LARvs NYJ
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.26.1
Last season per game—6.4
Snap share, last game83%94%
Trade value——