Caleb DouglasorDontayvion Wicks?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Caleb Douglas

Caleb Douglas outscores Dontayvion Wicks in 74% of simulations.

Dontayvion Wicks still comes out ahead in the other 26%, so Caleb Douglas is the better bet, not a sure thing. Caleb Douglas projects 5.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Dontayvion Wicks has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (13% more than average to WRs); Caleb Douglas faces the New England Patriots (2% fewer than average to WRs). Caleb Douglas still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Caleb Douglas
Floor
3.5
Median
10.4
Ceiling
22.8
Big game (20+):
15%
Dud (under 6):
25%
Dontayvion Wicks
Floor
0.9
Median
4.6
Ceiling
13.9
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
60%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCaleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETDontayvion WicksWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection12.06.3
PPR projection13.47.8
Standard projection10.64.7
Rank this weekWR15WR49
Matchupvs NEat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.67.3
Last season per game—4.7
Snap share, last game68%62%
Trade value25—