Caleb DouglasorDeVonta Smith?
Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith outscores Caleb Douglas in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Caleb Douglas comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean DeVonta Smith, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DeVonta Smith projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (13% more than average to WRs); Caleb Douglas faces the New England Patriots (2% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Caleb Douglas is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 25%
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 15.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | WR15 | WR11 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.6 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 66% |
| Trade value | 25 | 20 |