Jordan AddisonorTed Hurst III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores Ted Hurst III in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ted Hurst III comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jordan Addison projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the Miami Dolphins (9% fewer than average to WRs). Jordan Addison still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 p.m. ET | Ted Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.9 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | WR40 | WR44 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 98% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | — |