Romeo DoubsorTed Hurst III?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs outscores Ted Hurst III in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ted Hurst III comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Romeo Doubs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Romeo Doubs projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Ted Hurst III has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Romeo Doubs faces the Buffalo Bills (5% fewer than average to WRs). Romeo Doubs still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Romeo Doubs
Floor
1.9
Median
6.1
Ceiling
14.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
49%
Ted Hurst III
Floor
2.5
Median
6.2
Ceiling
12.5
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatRomeo DoubsWR, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETTed Hurst IIIWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.36.9
PPR projection8.77.9
Standard projection5.96.0
Rank this weekWR41WR44
Matchupat BUFvs GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.86.4
Last season per game8.6—
Snap share, last game73%75%
Trade value——