Antonio WilliamsorKayshon Boutte?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Antonio Williams

Antonio Williams outscores Kayshon Boutte in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kayshon Boutte comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Antonio Williams, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kayshon Boutte projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Antonio Williams faces the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs), Kayshon Boutte faces the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Antonio Williams
Floor
1.7
Median
5.7
Ceiling
13.4
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%
Kayshon Boutte
Floor
1.4
Median
5.6
Ceiling
14.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAntonio WilliamsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ETKayshon BoutteWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.97.0
PPR projection8.58.3
Standard projection5.35.7
Rank this weekWR47WR45
Matchupvs INDvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.93.6
Last season per game—7.7
Snap share, last game41%69%
Trade value——