KC ConcepcionorRyan Flournoy?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Ryan Flournoy in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ryan Flournoy comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Ryan Flournoy faces the Green Bay Packers (2% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, KC Concepcion wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Ryan Flournoy is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.5 |
| Standard projection | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR42 | WR44 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 16% | 68% |
| Trade value | — | — |