Ryan FlournoyorXavier Hutchinson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Xavier Hutchinson
Xavier Hutchinson outscores Ryan Flournoy in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ryan Flournoy comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Xavier Hutchinson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.0 half-PPR points in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Xavier Hutchinson faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs), Ryan Flournoy faces the Green Bay Packers (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 12.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 11.9
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ryan FlournoyWR, DAL, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Xavier HutchinsonWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Rank this week | WR44 | WR43 |
| Matchup | at GB | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 41% |
| Trade value | — | — |