Carnell TateorTre Tucker?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate outscores Tre Tucker in 55% of simulations.

Tre Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Carnell Tate is the better bet, not a sure thing. Carnell Tate projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Carnell Tate faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs), Tre Tucker faces the New England Patriots (1% fewer than average to WRs). Carnell Tate is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
0.9
Median
7.9
Ceiling
17.8
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Tre Tucker
Floor
1.2
Median
6.4
Ceiling
18.8
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETTre TuckerWR, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.98.3
PPR projection11.610.1
Standard projection6.26.5
Rank this weekWR25WR28
Matchupvs HOUat NE
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game8.99.2
Last season per game—7.8
Snap share, last game84%67%
Trade value6—