Carnell TateorKeenan Allen?

Week 8 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate outscores Keenan Allen in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.5 half-PPR points in Week 8. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars (8% more than average to WRs); Carnell Tate faces the Cincinnati Bengals (10% fewer than average to WRs). Carnell Tate still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Carnell Tate
Floor
2.6
Median
7.2
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
40%
Keenan Allen
Floor
2.4
Median
7.1
Ceiling
15.7
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
40%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatCarnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETKeenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.58.5
PPR projection10.811.0
Standard projection6.25.9
Rank this weekWR31WR30
Matchupat CINat JAX
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.67.7
Last season per game—8.4
Snap share, last game89%49%
Trade value3—