Keenan AllenorMatthew Golden?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores Keenan Allen in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Matthew Golden, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Matthew Golden projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Matthew Golden faces the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs). Matthew Golden still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Matthew Golden wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR18 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 13.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 86% |
| Trade value | — | 10 |