Keenan AllenorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Keenan Allen in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (24% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.5 | 11.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR23 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 20 |