Christian WatsonorDenzel Boston?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Denzel Boston in 73% of simulations.
Denzel Boston still comes out ahead in the other 27%, so Christian Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Christian Watson projects 5.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Christian Watson has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (2% more than average to WRs); Denzel Boston faces the New Orleans Saints (7% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 15.8 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR35 |
| Matchup | at NE | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 83% |
| Trade value | 31 | — |