Garrett WilsonorKeenan Allen?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Keenan Allen in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Keenan Allen comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (18% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Garrett Wilson wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR24 |
| Matchup | at KC | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 8.1 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 52% |
| Trade value | 18 | — |