George PickensorJaylen Waddle?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start George Pickens
George Pickens outscores Jaylen Waddle in 67% of simulations.
Jaylen Waddle still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so George Pickens is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Pickens projects 4.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. George Pickens has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (2% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Carolina Panthers (11% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George PickensWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.0 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 6.7 |
| Rank this week | WR13 | WR35 |
| Matchup | at IND | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 8.0 |
| Last season per game | 14.4 | 10.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 45% |
| Trade value | 24 | 1 |