Jalen CokerorKeenan Allen?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen outscores Jalen Coker in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Coker comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Coker projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Keenan Allen faces the Washington Commanders (23% more than average to WRs), Jalen Coker faces the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jalen Coker
Floor
2.2
Median
7.9
Ceiling
19.8
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Keenan Allen
Floor
2.5
Median
7.8
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
36%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ETKeenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.19.4
PPR projection12.312.0
Standard projection7.86.8
Rank this weekWR23WR26
Matchupvs DETat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game14.47.5
Last season per game6.78.4
Snap share, last game36%73%
Trade value——