Keenan AllenorParker Washington?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Parker Washington
Parker Washington outscores Keenan Allen in 57% of simulations.
Keenan Allen still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Parker Washington is the better bet, not a sure thing. Parker Washington projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (23% more than average to WRs); Parker Washington faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% fewer than average to WRs). Parker Washington still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Parker Washington wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Parker WashingtonWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 8.4 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR22 |
| Matchup | at WAS | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 13.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 81% |
| Trade value | — | 15 |