Emeka EgbukaorJalen Coker?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka outscores Jalen Coker in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jalen Coker comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Emeka Egbuka, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jalen Coker projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jalen Coker has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (20% more than average to WRs); Emeka Egbuka faces the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs). Emeka Egbuka still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emeka Egbuka
Floor
2.6
Median
8.2
Ceiling
18.9
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
34%
Jalen Coker
Floor
2.2
Median
7.9
Ceiling
19.8
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEmeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETJalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.610.1
PPR projection11.612.3
Standard projection7.67.8
Rank this weekWR25WR23
Matchupvs GBvs DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.814.4
Last season per game9.76.7
Snap share, last game74%36%
Trade value2—