Caleb DouglasorEmeka Egbuka?

Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Caleb Douglas

Caleb Douglas outscores Emeka Egbuka in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Caleb Douglas, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Caleb Douglas projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Caleb Douglas faces the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs), Emeka Egbuka faces the Chicago Bears (12% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Caleb Douglas
Floor
3.3
Median
9.9
Ceiling
21.7
Big game (20+):
13%
Dud (under 6):
26%
Emeka Egbuka
Floor
2.8
Median
8.9
Ceiling
20.5
Big game (20+):
11%
Dud (under 6):
31%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatCaleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETEmeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.410.6
PPR projection13.213.0
Standard projection9.68.3
Rank this weekWR19WR22
Matchupvs DETat CHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.39.5
Last season per game—9.7
Snap share, last game86%86%
Trade value128