Emeka EgbukaorParker Washington?

Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Parker Washington

Parker Washington outscores Emeka Egbuka in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Parker Washington, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Parker Washington projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Parker Washington faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% fewer than average to WRs). Parker Washington still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emeka Egbuka
Floor
2.6
Median
8.2
Ceiling
18.9
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
34%
Parker Washington
Floor
3.6
Median
9.0
Ceiling
18.3
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
27%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatEmeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETParker WashingtonWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.610.2
PPR projection11.612.1
Standard projection7.68.4
Rank this weekWR25WR22
Matchupvs GBat CIN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.813.9
Last season per game9.79.7
Snap share, last game74%81%
Trade value215