A.J. BrownorEmeka Egbuka?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Emeka Egbuka
Emeka Egbuka outscores A.J. Brown in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: A.J. Brown comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Emeka Egbuka, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. A.J. Brown projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 11.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR20 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs PIT |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.1 | 8.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 89% |
| Trade value | 16 | 5 |