DeVonta SmithorEmeka Egbuka?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith outscores Emeka Egbuka in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean DeVonta Smith, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. DeVonta Smith projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs); DeVonta Smith faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). DeVonta Smith still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 11.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.0 | 8.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 89% |
| Trade value | 16 | 5 |