Deebo Samuel Sr.orDeVonta Smith?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores DeVonta Smith in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); DeVonta Smith faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.3 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR18 | WR22 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 13.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 100% |
| Trade value | 8 | 16 |