DeVonta SmithorMatthew Golden?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores DeVonta Smith in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Matthew Golden, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Matthew Golden projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Matthew Golden has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); DeVonta Smith faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR21 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.0 | 13.3 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 77% |
| Trade value | 16 | 3 |