Keon ColemanorParker Washington?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Parker Washington

Parker Washington outscores Keon Coleman in 56% of simulations.

Keon Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Parker Washington is the better bet, not a sure thing. Parker Washington projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Parker Washington faces the Philadelphia Eagles (5% fewer than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keon Coleman
Floor
2.0
Median
6.9
Ceiling
16.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
44%
Parker Washington
Floor
2.9
Median
8.1
Ceiling
17.4
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKeon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ETParker WashingtonWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.39.4
PPR projection10.011.2
Standard projection6.57.7
Rank this weekWR29WR25
Matchupat LARvs PHI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.710.8
Last season per game7.09.7
Snap share, last game78%80%
Trade value—11