Keon ColemanorRome Odunze?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze outscores Keon Coleman in 55% of simulations.

Keon Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Rome Odunze is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rome Odunze projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Rome Odunze faces the Green Bay Packers (1% more than average to WRs), Keon Coleman faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keon Coleman
Floor
2.0
Median
6.9
Ceiling
16.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
44%
Rome Odunze
Floor
2.5
Median
7.7
Ceiling
17.9
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKeon ColemanWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ETRome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.39.3
PPR projection10.011.2
Standard projection6.57.5
Rank this weekWR29WR26
Matchupat LARat GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.77.6
Last season per game7.010.3
Snap share, last game78%89%
Trade value—8