A.J. BrownorRome Odunze?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown outscores Rome Odunze in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Rome Odunze comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean A.J. Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. A.J. Brown projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rome Odunze has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); A.J. Brown faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). A.J. Brown still wins more often despite that. A.J. Brown is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

A.J. Brown
Floor
0.2
Median
7.9
Ceiling
19.5
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
39%
Rome Odunze
Floor
2.3
Median
7.5
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
39%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatA.J. BrownWR, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETRome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.59.1
PPR projection11.611.1
Standard projection7.47.2
Rank this weekWR18WR22
Matchupvs NYJat ATL
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game4.16.8
Last season per game12.110.3
Snap share, last game44%99%
Trade value16—