Keenan AllenorKhalil Shakir?

Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen outscores Khalil Shakir in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Khalil Shakir comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Keenan Allen faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (6% more than average to WRs), Khalil Shakir faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). Keenan Allen is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keenan Allen
Floor
0.0
Median
6.8
Ceiling
15.9
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
45%
Khalil Shakir
Floor
2.4
Median
6.2
Ceiling
13.1
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKeenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETKhalil ShakirWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.77.2
PPR projection9.89.3
Standard projection5.55.0
Rank this weekWR35WR37
Matchupat PITat LAR
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game7.55.8
Last season per game8.48.1
Snap share, last game73%76%
Trade value——